← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 8, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Miguel Sesma
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.88 |
| Oviedo win | 29% | 3.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo −0.25 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Mirandes −0.25 | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 68% | 1.40 |
| Over | 32% | 3.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Mathis Lachuer · Mirandes |
| 43' | 🟨 | Federico Viñas · Oviedo |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jaime Seoane · Oviedo |
| 54' | ⚽ (pen) | Joaquin Panichelli · Mirandes |
| 71' | 🟨 | Ilyas Chaira · Oviedo |
| 76' | 🟨 | Julio Alonso · Mirandes |
| 84' | 🟨 | Unai Eguíluz · Mirandes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mirandes | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Anduva |
| coach days | 616.00 | 7.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1540.59 | 1541.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.63 | -2.41 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 50.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.70 |
| league points | 52.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 4.82 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.43 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 22.40 | 27.93 |
| state index | 0.77 | 0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.88 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |