← Segunda División 2024-25 · Fri, Mar 7, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Sergiu Muresan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 35% | 2.76 |
| Eibar win | 35% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Eibar +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Matheus Pereira · Eibar |
| 52' | 🟨 | José Corpas · Eibar |
| 64' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Radovanović · Almeria |
| 69' | 🟨 | Dion Lopy · Almeria |
| 72' | 🟨 | Marko Milovanović · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eibar | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa |
| coach days | 34.00 | 279.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.47 | 2.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1475.46 | 1540.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.00 | -20.61 |
| eye test v1 | -0.00 | 0.86 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.71 |
| league points | 38.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 6.94 | 5.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.44 | 0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 26.64 | 23.29 |
| state index | -0.06 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.50 | -0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |