← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 1, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: José Sánchez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 55% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Ferrol win | 15% | 7.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ferrol −0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Huesca −0.75 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 68% | 1.40 |
| Over | 32% | 3.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ (og) | Dani Jiménez · Ferrol |
| 16' | 🟨 | Oscar Sielva · Huesca |
| 24' | ⚽ | Iker Kortajarena · Huesca |
| 26' | 🟨 | Patrick Soko · Huesca |
| 36' | ⚽ | Patrick Soko · Huesca |
| 50' | ⚽ | Patrick Soko · Huesca |
| 64' | 🟨 | Róber · Ferrol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Ferrol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.09 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 517.00 | 59.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.50 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| elo | 1575.73 | 1400.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.11 | -34.23 |
| eye test v1 | -0.78 | -1.65 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 43.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.93 | 0.62 |
| league points | 48.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 68.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.20 | 42.60 |
| rest days | 6.09 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.66 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -9.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.89 | -1.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 1.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| squad age | 24.60 | — |
| state index | 0.52 | -1.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | -0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |