← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, Feb 23, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 73% | 1.31 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.25 |
| Cartagena win | 8% | 12.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena −1.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Elche CF −1.5 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | David Affengruber · Elche CF |
| 48' | ⚽ | Álex Millán · Cartagena |
| 60' | ⚽ | Germán Valera · Elche CF |
| 63' | 🟨 | Pablo Cuñat · Cartagena |
| 63' | ⚽ | Agustín Álvarez · Elche CF |
| 68' | 🟨 | Jose Salinas · Elche CF |
| 82' | 🟨 | Mini · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nacho Martinez · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
| 10 | On target | 1 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| coach days | 237.00 | 53.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.32 |
| elo | 1559.96 | 1337.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.86 | -42.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.31 | -0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.90 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.66 |
| league points | 51.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.20 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.00 | 39.80 |
| rest days | 5.82 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 0.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -8.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.73 | -0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.10 | — |
| state index | 0.41 | -1.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.75 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.20 |