← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 22, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: José Guzmán
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 36% | 2.69 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.76 |
| Burgos win | 29% | 3.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos +0.25 | 56% | 1.75 |
| Oviedo +0.25 | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 71% | 1.36 |
| Over | 29% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Borja Sánchez · Burgos |
| 39' | 🟨 | César de la Hoz · Oviedo |
| 40' | ⚽ | Alemão · Oviedo |
| 55' | ⚽ | Dani Calvo · Oviedo |
| 84' | 🟨 | Grego Sierra · Burgos |
| 90' | 🟨 | Florian Miguel · Burgos |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burgos | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de El Plantío |
| coach days | 144.00 | 236.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.90 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1428.72 | 1546.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.93 | 15.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.96 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.54 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 47.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| league points | 33.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 5.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.66 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.37 | 0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | — | 28.46 |
| state index | -0.23 | 0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |