← Segunda División 2024-25 · Fri, Feb 21, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Salvador Lax
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 38% | 2.56 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.97 |
| Tenerife win | 30% | 3.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife −0.25 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Málaga CF −0.25 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.47 |
| Over | 35% | 2.82 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Juande Rivas · Tenerife |
| 37' | 🟨 | Jeremy Mellot · Tenerife |
| 53' | ⚽ | Daniel Sánchez · Málaga CF |
| 64' | 🟨 | Julen Lobete · Málaga CF |
| 76' | 🟨 | David Rodríguez Ramos · Tenerife |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luismi · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 0 |
| 18 | Fouls | 22 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 782.00 | 82.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1479.62 | 1385.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.33 | -14.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | -0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | 0.62 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.58 |
| league points | 38.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.80 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 6.18 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 0.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.94 | 0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.36 | -0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.09 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |