← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, Feb 16, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: José Sánchez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 48% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Burgos win | 22% | 4.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos −0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Zaragoza −0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.49 |
| Over | 36% | 2.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Francho Serrano · Zaragoza |
| 41' | 🟨 | Álex Sancris · Burgos |
| 51' | 🟨 | Kervin Arriaga · Zaragoza |
| 55' | 🟥 | Dani Gómez · Zaragoza |
| 61' | 🟨 | Eladio Zorrilla Jiménez · Burgos |
| 68' | 🟨 | Aitor Córdoba · Burgos |
| 84' | ⚽ | Iñigo Cordoba · Burgos |
| 87' | 🟨 | Pau Sans · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 77.00 | 138.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 3.24 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1465.43 | 1415.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.70 | -14.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.41 | -0.95 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 50.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.63 |
| league points | 34.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 8.92 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.18 | -0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| state index | -0.37 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.66 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |