← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 15, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Sergiu Muresan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 34% | 2.84 |
| Cartagena win | 33% | 2.96 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF +0 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Cartagena +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟥 | Damian Musto · Cartagena |
| 9' | 🟨 | David Larrubia · Málaga CF |
| 29' | 🟨 | Jorge Moreno · Cartagena |
| 35' | 🟨 | Izan Merino · Málaga CF |
| 87' | 🟨 | Manu Molina · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | José Machín · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Salim El Jebari · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mini · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ramón Enríquez · Málaga CF |
| 90' | ⚽ | Roko Baturina · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cartagena | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Cartagonova |
| coach days | 45.00 | 776.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.02 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1345.30 | 1471.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.45 | -28.15 |
| eye test v1 | -0.82 | -0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.78 |
| league points | 18.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -10.60 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.48 | 0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| state index | -1.48 | -0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | 0.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |