← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 15, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Miguel González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Castellon win | 46% | 2.11 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.26 |
| Eibar win | 25% | 3.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar −0.5 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Castellon −0.5 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Ander Madariaga · Eibar |
| 18' | ⚽ | Thomas Van den Belt · Castellon |
| 47' | 🟨 | Hodei Arrillaga · Eibar |
| 53' | 🟨 | Matheus Pereira · Eibar |
| 57' | ⚽ | Raúl Sánchez · Castellon |
| 71' | 🟨 | Aritz Arambarri · Eibar |
| 90' | 🟨 | Thomas Van den Belt · Castellon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Castellon | Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio SkyFi Castalia |
| coach days | 45.00 | 14.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 3.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1410.52 | 1478.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.67 | -21.23 |
| eye test v1 | -0.93 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.20 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.72 |
| league points | 32.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.80 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.61 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | — | 26.64 |
| state index | -0.56 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.92 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |