← Segunda División 2024-25 · Fri, Feb 14, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Marta Huerta
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes win | 56% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
| Ferrol win | 16% | 6.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ferrol −0.75 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Mirandes −0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.51 |
| Over | 36% | 2.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ (pen) | Urko Izeta · Mirandes |
| 13' | 🟨 | Urko Izeta · Mirandes |
| 23' | ⚽ | Alberto Reina · Mirandes |
| 41' | ⚽ | Luis Perea · Ferrol |
| 45' | 🟨 | Victor Parada · Mirandes |
| 45' | 🟨 | Aitor Gelardo Vegara · Ferrol |
| 60' | 🟨 | Josep Señé · Ferrol |
| 62' | ⚽ | Joaquin Panichelli · Mirandes |
| 79' | 🟨 | Erick Cabaco · Ferrol |
| 87' | 🟨 | Emanuel Insua · Ferrol |
| 90' | ⚽ | Adrián Butzke |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mirandes | Ferrol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Anduva |
| coach days | 594.00 | 44.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1532.55 | 1409.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.94 | -25.81 |
| eye test v1 | 0.46 | -0.86 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.20 | 48.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.68 |
| league points | 46.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 6.18 | 6.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 0.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.70 | -0.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 22.40 | — |
| state index | 0.15 | -0.72 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.90 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |