← Segunda División 2024-25 · Mon, Feb 10, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Dámaso Arcediano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 57% | 1.69 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Eldense win | 17% | 6.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Eldense −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.62 |
| Over | 40% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Fran Gámez · Eldense |
| 54' | 🟨 | Javi Llabrés · Eldense |
| 67' | 🟨 | Carlos Pomares · Oviedo |
| 84' | 🟨 | Fede Vico · Eldense |
| 90' | 🟨 | Daniel Paraschiv · Oviedo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sergio Ortuño · Eldense |
| 90' | 🟨 | Diego Mendez · Eldense |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 0 |
| 8 | Corners | 0 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Eldense |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere |
| coach days | 224.00 | 40.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 3.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1546.14 | 1382.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.00 | -27.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.20 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.59 |
| league points | 44.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 9.08 | 10.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 0.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | -0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.71 | — |
| state index | 0.30 | -0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | -0.88 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |