← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, Feb 9, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Carlos Muñiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz win | 63% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.93 |
| Cartagena win | 12% | 8.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz −1 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Cartagena −1 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Mario Climent · Cadiz |
| 29' | ⚽ | Álex Fernández · Cadiz |
| 37' | ⚽ | Chris Ramos · Cadiz |
| 44' | ⚽ (pen) | Andy Rodríguez · Cartagena |
| 45' | 🟨 | Andy Rodríguez · Cartagena |
| 45' | 🟨 | Kiko Olivas · Cartagena |
| 60' | ⚽ (pen) | Andy Rodríguez · Cartagena |
| 66' | 🟨 | Damian Musto · Cartagena |
| 78' | ⚽ | Jose Antonio de la Rosa · Cadiz |
| 90' | ⚽ | Gonzalo Escalante · Cadiz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 4 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cadiz | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.34 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla |
| coach days | 70.00 | 39.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| elo | 1508.12 | 1353.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.46 | -22.78 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | -1.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.40 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.70 |
| league points | 31.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.40 | 41.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 0.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 7.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.90 | -0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.80 |
| squad age | 28.22 | — |
| state index | 0.34 | -1.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.50 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |