← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 8, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Rafael Sánchez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.42 |
| Mirandes win | 21% | 4.76 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Mirandes −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Miguel Ángel Brau · Granada |
| 9' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Villar · Granada |
| 37' | 🟨 | Martin Hongla · Granada |
| 64' | 🟨 | Juan Gutiérrez · Mirandes |
| 71' | 🟨 | Victor Parada · Mirandes |
| 80' | 🟨 | Loïc Williams · Granada |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joel Roca · Mirandes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Iker Benito · Mirandes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Granada | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes |
| coach days | 160.00 | 588.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1551.27 | 1530.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.82 | 23.41 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | 0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.70 | 62.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.74 |
| league points | 46.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 42.60 |
| rest days | 7.82 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.54 | -0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.06 | 22.40 |
| state index | 0.51 | 0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.16 | -0.88 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |