← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 1, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
| Oviedo win | 21% | 4.66 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria −0.5 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Oviedo −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.87 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Chumi · Almeria |
| 37' | 🟨 | Dion Lopy · Almeria |
| 40' | ⚽ | Alemão · Oviedo |
| 44' | 🟨 | Ilyas Chaira · Oviedo |
| 53' | 🟨 | Francisco Portillo · Oviedo |
| 69' | 🟨 | Marko Milovanović · Almeria |
| 75' | ⚽ | Luis Javier Suárez · Almeria |
| 77' | 🟨 | Kwasi Sibo · Oviedo |
| 87' | 🟨 | Santiago Colombatto · Oviedo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dani Calvo · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | UD Almería Stadium |
| coach days | 245.00 | 215.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.18 | 1.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1563.52 | 1543.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.74 | -10.12 |
| eye test v1 | 0.73 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.00 | 44.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.62 |
| league points | 44.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.40 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.40 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 6.09 | 6.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 1.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.31 | 0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 23.29 | 27.71 |
| state index | 0.52 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.78 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |