← Segunda División 2024-25 · Fri, Jan 31, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Salvador Lax
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada win | 36% | 2.74 |
| Eldense win | 34% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada +0 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Eldense +0 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Marc Mateu · Eldense |
| 42' | ⚽ | Stoichkov · Granada |
| 51' | 🟨 | Sergio Ruiz Alonso · Granada |
| 62' | ⚽ | Giorgi Tsitaishvili · Granada |
| 72' | 🟨 | Giorgi Tsitaishvili · Granada |
| 90' | 🟨 | Miguel Ángel Brau · Granada |
| 90' | ⚽ | Miguel Ángel Brau · Granada |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eldense | Granada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat |
| coach days | 30.00 | 152.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.35 | 2.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1395.86 | 1537.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.54 | 6.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.15 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 65.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.68 |
| league points | 25.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 5.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.77 | 0.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | — | 26.06 |
| state index | -0.80 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.12 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |