← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, Jan 26, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Rafael Sánchez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 43% | 2.30 |
| Albacete win | 29% | 3.45 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria +0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Albacete +0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.91 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Jon Morcillo · Albacete |
| 15' | 🟨 | Dion Lopy · Almeria |
| 51' | 🟨 | Agus Medina · Albacete |
| 63' | 🟨 | Chumi · Almeria |
| 68' | 🟨 | Luis Javier Suárez · Almeria |
| 70' | ⚽ (pen) | Jon Morcillo · Albacete |
| 80' | 🟨 | Lalo Aguilar · Albacete |
| 86' | 🟨 | Lázaro · Almeria |
| 86' | ⚽ | Lucas Robertone · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marc Pubill · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Carlos Belmonte |
| coach days | 331.00 | 239.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 3.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1465.81 | 1574.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.41 | 27.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | 0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.46 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 50.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.73 |
| league points | 29.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 7.91 | 6.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | 0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | — | 23.29 |
| state index | -0.39 | 0.88 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.07 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |