← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 25, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: José Guzmán
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 61% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.70 |
| Cartagena win | 13% | 8.36 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena −1 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Huesca −1 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Martín Aguirregabiria · Cartagena |
| 30' | ⚽ (pen) | Oscar Sielva · Huesca |
| 52' | ⚽ | Joaquín Muñoz · Huesca |
| 77' | ⚽ | Jorge Pulido · Huesca |
| 81' | ⚽ | Hugo Vallejo · Huesca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 5 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.42 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 482.00 | 24.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.08 | 1.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.01 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
| elo | 1532.62 | 1372.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.16 | -24.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.48 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.48 | -0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.90 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.88 | 0.77 |
| league points | 37.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 37.40 |
| rest days | 5.90 | 7.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 0.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -9.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.03 | -1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| state index | 0.44 | -1.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | -0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |