← Segunda División 2024-25 · Fri, Jan 24, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Iosu Galech
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 53% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Eibar win | 18% | 5.96 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar −0.75 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Elche CF −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | ⚽ | Sory Kaba · Elche CF |
| 59' | 🟨 | Álvaro Carrillo · Eibar |
| 72' | 🟨 | Álvaro Carrillo · Eibar |
| 72' | 🟥 | Álvaro Carrillo · Eibar |
| 74' | ⚽ | Nicolás Castro · Elche CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| coach days | 207.00 | 573.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1558.99 | 1497.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.08 | 7.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.76 |
| league points | 44.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.40 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 6.08 | 6.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.33 | 0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.27 | 26.64 |
| state index | 0.60 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.54 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |