← Segunda División 2024-25 · Mon, Jan 20, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Palencia
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes win | 46% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
| Málaga CF win | 22% | 4.63 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Mirandes −0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.45 |
| Over | 34% | 2.87 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Álex Pastor · Málaga CF |
| 40' | ⚽ | Manu Molina · Málaga CF |
| 56' | 🟨 | Alfonso Herrero · Málaga CF |
| 57' | ⚽ (pen) | Joaquin Panichelli · Mirandes |
| 61' | ⚽ | Jon Gorrotxategi · Mirandes |
| 65' | 🟨 | Alberto Reina · Mirandes |
| 71' | ⚽ | David Larrubia · Málaga CF |
| 87' | 🟨 | Joaquin Panichelli · Mirandes |
| 90' | ⚽ | Joel Roca · Mirandes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 7 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mirandes | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Anduva |
| coach days | 569.00 | 750.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 1.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1519.13 | 1496.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.47 | 48.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.56 | -0.88 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.85 |
| league points | 39.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.60 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 9.18 | 9.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.14 | 0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 22.40 | — |
| state index | 0.11 | 0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |