← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, Jan 19, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Andrés Fuentes
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 51% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.25 |
| Tenerife win | 18% | 5.67 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Tenerife −0.5 | 50% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.49 |
| Over | 36% | 2.73 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Yann Bodiger · Tenerife |
| 39' | ⚽ | Waldo Rubio Marin · Tenerife |
| 52' | 🟨 | Aitor Sanz · Tenerife |
| 61' | 🟨 | Álejandro Cantero · Tenerife |
| 69' | ⚽ | Youssouf Diarra · Tenerife |
| 72' | 🟨 | Carlos Nieto · Zaragoza |
| 77' | ⚽ | Enrique Clemente · Zaragoza |
| 78' | ⚽ | Ivan Azón · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Samed Baždar · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Josep Gayá · Tenerife |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 5 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.19 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 49.00 | 49.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 1.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1465.99 | 1396.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.04 | -30.04 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | -1.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.66 |
| league points | 29.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 0.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | -0.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 1.60 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.93 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |