← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, Jan 19, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos win | 37% | 2.67 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
| RC Deportivo La Coruña win | 31% | 3.17 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos +0 | 55% | 1.79 |
| RC Deportivo La Coruña +0 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.51 |
| Over | 35% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Ximo Navarro · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 50' | 🟨 | Omenuke Mfulu · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 65' | 🟨 | Iván Morante · Burgos |
| 69' | ⚽ | Mario Soriano · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 72' | 🟨 | Curro · Burgos |
| 79' | 🟨 | Aitor Córdoba · Burgos |
| 90' | 🟨 | Florian Miguel · Burgos |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burgos | RC Deportivo La Coruña |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de El Plantío |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 110.00 | 110.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1434.65 | 1466.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.19 | 14.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.65 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.70 | 65.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 1.89 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.67 |
| league points | 27.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 8.73 | 7.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.09 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| state index | 0.23 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |