← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 18, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: José Sánchez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar win | 48% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Albacete win | 23% | 4.39 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Eibar −0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.58 |
| Over | 40% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Javi Villar · Albacete |
| 4' | ⚽ | Ander Madariaga · Eibar |
| 40' | 🟨 | Javi Martínez · Eibar |
| 44' | 🟨 | Jorge Pascual · Eibar |
| 49' | ⚽ | Javier Rueda · Albacete |
| 56' | 🟨 | José Corpas · Eibar |
| 87' | 🟨 | Jon Guruzeta · Eibar |
| 89' | 🟨 | Javier Rueda · Albacete |
| 90' | 🟨 | Peru Nolaskoain Esnal · Eibar |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nabil Touaizi · Albacete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eibar | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa |
| coach days | 567.00 | 323.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1499.89 | 1463.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.76 | -10.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.49 | -0.94 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.30 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.72 |
| league points | 31.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 4.92 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.38 | -0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 26.64 | — |
| state index | 0.20 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.04 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |