← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 18, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Manuel Pérez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eldense win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Cadiz win | 28% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz −0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Eldense −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.44 |
| Over | 34% | 2.90 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Javier Ontiveros · Cadiz |
| 23' | 🟨 | David Timor · Eldense |
| 27' | 🟨 | Fali · Cadiz |
| 42' | 🟨 | Bojan Kovačević · Cadiz |
| 44' | ⚽ | Rubén Sobrino · Cadiz |
| 45' | ⚽ | Rubén Alcaraz · Cadiz |
| 52' | 🟨 | Sergio Ortuño · Eldense |
| 55' | ⚽ | Mario Climent · Cadiz |
| 87' | ⚽ | Simo Bouzaidi · Eldense |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 16 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 23 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eldense | Cadiz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat |
| coach days | 17.00 | 48.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 1.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 1.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1400.38 | 1476.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.61 | 3.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.49 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.72 |
| league points | 22.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 40.60 |
| rest days | 4.82 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 1.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.81 | -0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | — | 28.22 |
| state index | -0.80 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.43 | -0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |