← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, Jan 12, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Rafael Sánchez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 52% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.38 |
| Zaragoza win | 19% | 5.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF −0.5 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Zaragoza −0.5 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Marc Aguado · Zaragoza |
| 21' | 🟨 | Dani Tasende · Zaragoza |
| 26' | 🟨 | Adrian Liso · Zaragoza |
| 39' | 🟨 | Josan · Elche CF |
| 51' | 🟨 | Alvaro Núñez · Elche CF |
| 72' | 🟨 | Enrique Clemente · Zaragoza |
| 75' | 🟨 | Nicolás Fernández · Elche CF |
| 80' | 🟨 | Mourad El Ghezouani · Elche CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Elbasan Rashani · Elche CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alberto Mari · Zaragoza |
| 90' | ⚽ | Elbasan Rashani |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 0 |
| 17 | Fouls | 22 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| coach days | 195.00 | 42.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.56 | 2.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1553.95 | 1472.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.84 | -21.51 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | 0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.56 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| league points | 39.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.00 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.20 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 21.00 | 21.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 8.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.54 | 0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.55 | — |
| state index | 0.73 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.55 | 0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |