← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, Jan 12, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Álvaro Moreno
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 39% | 2.43 |
| Cordoba win | 33% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cordoba +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Almeria +0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.81 |
| Under | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Luis Javier Suárez · Almeria |
| 26' | 🟨 | Alex Sala · Cordoba |
| 29' | 🟨 | Théo Zidane · Cordoba |
| 31' | ⚽ (pen) | Luis Javier Suárez · Almeria |
| 42' | 🟨 | Carlos Isaac · Cordoba |
| 46' | 🟥 | Jose Calderon · Cordoba |
| 51' | ⚽ | Léo Baptistão · Almeria |
| 62' | 🟨 | Jose Luis Zalazar · Cordoba |
| 69' | ⚽ | Nicolás Melamed · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 23 | Fouls | 7 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cordoba | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Arcángel |
| coach days | 591.00 | 225.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.44 | 2.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1396.22 | 1565.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 40.13 | 25.20 |
| eye test v1 | 0.49 | 0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 47.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.65 |
| league points | 27.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 21.91 | 20.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | 0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | — | 23.29 |
| state index | 0.36 | 0.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |