← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 11, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Dámaso Arcediano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 36% | 2.81 |
| RC Deportivo La Coruña win | 33% | 3.01 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| RC Deportivo La Coruña +0 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.56 |
| Over | 39% | 2.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Jokin Gabilondo · Málaga CF |
| 24' | 🟨 | Omenuke Mfulu · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 39' | 🟨 | Kevin Villodres · Málaga CF |
| 67' | ⚽ | Yeremay Hernández · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 87' | ⚽ | Chupete · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | RC Deportivo La Coruña |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.53 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 741.00 | 102.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1499.66 | 1463.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 52.48 | 12.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.83 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 62.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.89 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.86 | — |
| league points | 33.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 21.00 | 19.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| state index | 0.57 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.51 | 0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |