← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 11, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Jon González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 39% | 2.47 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.84 |
| Mirandes win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Huesca −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 71% | 1.37 |
| Over | 29% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟥 | Victor Parada · Mirandes |
| 19' | 🟨 | Alberto Rodríguez · Mirandes |
| 36' | ⚽ | Patrick Soko · Huesca |
| 45' | 🟥 | Mathis Lachuer · Mirandes |
| 63' | 🟥 | Oscar Sielva · Huesca |
| 90' | 🟨 | Diego González · Huesca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 26 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 16 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 468.00 | 560.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 2.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1521.13 | 1527.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 53.97 | 19.10 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | -0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.71 |
| league points | 33.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.20 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 19.80 | 19.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.74 | -1.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | — | 22.40 |
| state index | 0.55 | 0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | -0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |