← Segunda División 2024-25 · Fri, Jan 10, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Marta Huerta
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Burgos win | 22% | 4.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Granada −0.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Eduardo Espiau · Burgos |
| 44' | 🟨 | Giorgi Tsitaishvili · Granada |
| 65' | 🟨 | Iñigo Cordoba · Burgos |
| 67' | 🟨 | Iván Morante · Burgos |
| 77' | 🟨 | Miguel Atienza · Burgos |
| 84' | 🟨 | Fernando Niño · Burgos |
| 89' | 🟨 | Loïc Williams · Granada |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pipa · Burgos |
| 90' | 🟨 | Anderson Arroyo · Burgos |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 23 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 7 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Granada | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes |
| coach days | 131.00 | 101.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.68 | 2.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1531.45 | 1430.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.95 | 11.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | -0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 52.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.00 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.70 |
| league points | 36.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 20.27 | 19.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.06 | — |
| state index | 0.27 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | 0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |