← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 22, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Germán Cid
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 58% | 1.64 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.06 |
| Cadiz win | 18% | 5.49 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria −0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Cadiz −0.75 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.82 |
| Under | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | ⚽ | Javier Ontiveros · Cadiz |
| 47' | 🟨 | Brian Ocampo · Cadiz |
| 55' | 🟨 | Javier Ontiveros · Cadiz |
| 60' | ⚽ (pen) | Luis Javier Suárez · Almeria |
| 73' | 🟨 | Javier Ontiveros · Cadiz |
| 73' | 🟥 | Javier Ontiveros · Cadiz |
| 78' | 🟨 | Alejandro Pozo · Almeria |
| 89' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Melero · Almeria |
| 89' | 🟨 | Carlos Fernández · Cadiz |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marko Perović · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 0 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Cadiz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| venue | UD Almería Stadium |
| coach days | 204.00 | 21.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 1.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1570.06 | 1471.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.40 | -18.34 |
| eye test v1 | 0.77 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.40 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.68 |
| league points | 39.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 16.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 3.98 | 2.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | -0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 23.29 | 28.22 |
| state index | 0.94 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | -0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.40 |