← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 21, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Palencia
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 63% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.99 |
| Ferrol win | 13% | 7.37 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ferrol −1 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Zaragoza −1 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Ivan Azón · Zaragoza |
| 34' | 🟨 | Naldo · Ferrol |
| 63' | ⚽ | Ager Aketxe · Zaragoza |
| 65' | 🟨 | Bernardo Vital · Zaragoza |
| 87' | 🟨 | Aitor Gelardo Vegara · Ferrol |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dani Tasende · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟥 | Róber · Ferrol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Ferrol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 20.00 | 1419.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1464.65 | 1435.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.08 | 12.24 |
| eye test v1 | 0.37 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.62 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.30 | 47.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.68 |
| league points | 26.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 3.89 | 2.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.46 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | -0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.76 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.03 | -0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |