← Segunda División 2024-25 · Thu, Dec 19, 08:15 PM UTC · ref: Dámaso Arcediano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 48% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Tenerife win | 21% | 4.88 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Huesca −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.44 |
| Over | 34% | 2.91 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | ⚽ | Patrick Soko · Huesca |
| 66' | 🟨 | Miguel Loureiro · Huesca |
| 71' | 🟨 | Youssouf Diarra · Tenerife |
| 75' | 🟨 | Jorge Pulido · Huesca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.65 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 445.00 | 18.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 1.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1512.80 | 1407.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.17 | -23.96 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | -1.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.49 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 50.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.69 |
| league points | 29.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.80 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 4.11 | 11.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.00 | -0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.00 |
| state index | 0.23 | -0.91 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.70 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |