← Segunda División 2024-25 · Thu, Dec 19, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Carlos Muñiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz win | 51% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.33 |
| Burgos win | 19% | 5.01 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Burgos −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 69' | 🟨 | Fede San Emeterio · Cadiz |
| 75' | ⚽ | Brian Ocampo · Cadiz |
| 84' | 🟨 | Fali · Cadiz |
| 86' | 🟨 | Fede San Emeterio · Cadiz |
| 86' | 🟥 | Fede San Emeterio · Cadiz |
| 88' | ⚽ (pen) | Álex Sancris · Burgos |
| 89' | 🟨 | Rubén Sobrino · Cadiz |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marcelo Expósito · Burgos |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 27 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cadiz | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla |
| coach days | 18.00 | 79.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 3.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1474.87 | 1419.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.00 | 5.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.69 |
| league points | 21.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.20 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 5.11 | 4.11 |
| scorer concentration | 0.41 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.01 | 0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.22 | — |
| state index | -0.17 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.63 | 0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |