← Segunda División 2024-25 · Wed, Dec 18, 08:15 PM UTC · ref: Rafael Sánchez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 42% | 2.32 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
| Eldense win | 26% | 3.91 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Eldense −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.47 |
| Over | 35% | 2.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Antonio Cordero · Málaga CF |
| 28' | ⚽ | Nélson Monte · Málaga CF |
| 38' | 🟨 | Iván Martos · Eldense |
| 39' | 🟨 | David Timor · Eldense |
| 42' | 🟨 | Iván Martos · Eldense |
| 42' | 🟥 | Iván Martos · Eldense |
| 50' | 🟨 | Unai Ropero · Eldense |
| 56' | 🟨 | Joel Jorquera · Eldense |
| 58' | 🟨 | Julen Lobete · Málaga CF |
| 81' | 🟨 | Jokin Gabilondo · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Víctor Camarasa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 20 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 7 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Eldense |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ricardo Grigore · Eldense |
| 90' | ⚽ | Kevin Villodres · Málaga CF |
| coach days | 717.00 | 170.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 1.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1449.28 | 1423.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.67 | -6.88 |
| eye test v1 | -0.92 | -0.99 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.39 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.88 | 0.67 |
| league points | 24.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 4.11 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | -0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| state index | -0.63 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | -0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |