← Segunda División 2024-25 · Wed, Dec 18, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Jon González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 49% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Ferrol win | 23% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ferrol +0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Almeria +0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.83 |
| Over | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | David Castro · Ferrol |
| 24' | 🟨 | Josep Señé · Ferrol |
| 26' | 🟨 | Naldo · Ferrol |
| 33' | ⚽ | Luis Javier Suárez · Almeria |
| 48' | ⚽ | Aitor Gelardo Vegara · Ferrol |
| 51' | ⚽ (pen) | Luis Javier Suárez · Almeria |
| 57' | ⚽ | Sergio Arribas · Almeria |
| 63' | ⚽ | Luis Javier Suárez · Almeria |
| 77' | 🟨 | Ruben Quintanilla · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 10 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ferrol | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de A Malata |
| coach days | 1416.00 | 200.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.40 | 3.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1450.40 | 1554.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.57 | 29.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.85 | 0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.70 | 51.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.76 |
| league points | 21.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 4.94 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.00 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.04 | 0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.60 |
| squad age | — | 23.29 |
| state index | -0.26 | 0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.44 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |