← Segunda División 2024-25 · Tue, Dec 17, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada win | 68% | 1.42 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.60 |
| Cartagena win | 11% | 9.44 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada −1.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Cartagena −1.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Gaston Valles · Cartagena |
| 14' | ⚽ | Myrto Uzuni · Granada |
| 20' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Villar · Granada |
| 27' | ⚽ | Myrto Uzuni · Granada |
| 35' | ⚽ | Sergio Rodelas · Granada |
| 73' | ⚽ | Myrto Uzuni · Granada |
| 76' | 🟨 | Dani Escriche · Cartagena |
| 78' | 🟨 | Mini · Cartagena |
| 86' | 🟨 | Pocho Román · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Granada | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.61 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.53 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes |
| coach days | 107.00 | 107.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1522.55 | 1384.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.05 | -0.08 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 60.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.71 |
| league points | 32.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 38.20 |
| rest days | 2.92 | 3.11 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -8.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.11 | -1.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.06 | — |
| state index | 0.25 | -0.83 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | -0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |