← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 14, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Germán Cid
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Castellon win | 69% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.17 |
| Cartagena win | 12% | 9.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena −1.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Castellon −1.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Kenneth Obinna Mamah · Castellon |
| 14' | ⚽ | Israel Suero · Castellon |
| 24' | 🟨 | Alberto Jiménez · Castellon |
| 27' | 🟨 | Dani Escriche · Cartagena |
| 37' | 🟨 | Mini · Cartagena |
| 45' | 🟨 | Kiko Olivas · Cartagena |
| 46' | 🟨 | Pedro Alcala · Cartagena |
| 50' | ⚽ | Pere Marco · Castellon |
| 64' | ⚽ | Pocho Román · Cartagena |
| 70' | ⚽ | Brian Cipenga · Castellon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 9 |
| 13 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Castellon | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.54 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| coach days | 562.00 |
| venue | Estadio SkyFi Castalia |
| 104.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1447.61 | 1396.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.32 | 23.67 |
| eye test v1 | 0.68 | -0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.71 |
| league points | 26.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.00 | 38.00 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 4.82 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 0.84 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.20 | -1.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.15 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.03 | -0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |