← Segunda División 2024-25 · Fri, Dec 13, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 60% | 1.58 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.09 |
| Mirandes win | 16% | 6.16 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes −1 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Almeria −1 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Léo Baptistão · Almeria |
| 13' | 🟨 | Chumi · Almeria |
| 25' | 🟨 | Marc Pubill · Almeria |
| 29' | 🟨 | Hugo Rincón · Mirandes |
| 50' | 🟨 | Dion Lopy · Almeria |
| 67' | 🟨 | Sergio Arribas · Almeria |
| 71' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Melero · Almeria |
| 72' | 🟨 | Alberto Reina · Mirandes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luis Javier Suárez · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 26 | Fouls | 19 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | UD Almería Stadium |
| coach days | 195.00 | 531.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.43 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1547.28 | 1518.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.00 | 46.51 |
| eye test v1 | 0.98 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.73 |
| league points | 33.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 67.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 39.80 |
| rest days | 5.18 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.74 | 1.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.04 | -1.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 23.29 | 22.40 |
| state index | 0.79 | 0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.34 | -1.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |