← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 8, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Miguel González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 40% | 2.41 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
| Málaga CF win | 30% | 3.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Almeria +0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ (og) | Fernando Martínez · Málaga CF |
| 20' | 🟨 | Marc Pubill · Almeria |
| 49' | 🟨 | Bruno Langa · Almeria |
| 51' | 🟨 | Manu Molina · Málaga CF |
| 51' | 🟨 | Dion Lopy · Almeria |
| 56' | 🟨 | Chumi · Almeria |
| 63' | 🟨 | Luis Javier Suárez · Almeria |
| 72' | 🟨 | Luismi · Málaga CF |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Álex Pastor · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 24 |
| 1 | On target | 8 |
| 3 | Corners | 10 |
| 24 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 707.00 | 190.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1447.18 | 1548.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.98 | 41.99 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | 0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.20 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.86 | — |
| league points | 22.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.50 | 0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| squad age | — | 23.29 |
| state index | -0.50 | 0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |