← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 30, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Palencia
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 37% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.92 |
| Tenerife win | 30% | 3.36 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife +0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Elche CF +0.25 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.42 |
| Over | 33% | 2.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Aarón Martín · Tenerife |
| 23' | 🟨 | Nicolás Fernández · Elche CF |
| 26' | 🟨 | Nicolás Fernández · Elche CF |
| 26' | 🟥 | Nicolás Fernández · Elche CF |
| 30' | ⚽ | Youssouf Diarra · Tenerife |
| 35' | 🟨 | Aleix Febas · Elche CF |
| 60' | 🟨 | Maikel Mesa · Tenerife |
| 62' | 🟨 | Waldo Rubio Marin · Tenerife |
| 69' | 🟨 | Jeremy Mellot · Tenerife |
| 74' | 🟨 | Cristian Salvador · Elche CF |
| 83' | 🟨 | Jeremy Mellot |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 22 | Fouls | 22 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Elche CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz |
| 83' | 🟥 | Jeremy Mellot · Tenerife |
| 86' | 🟨 | Nicolás Castro · Elche CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Raúl Guti · Elche CF |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sory Kaba · Elche CF |
| coach days | 90.00 | 152.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1425.37 | 1520.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.62 | 36.61 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | 1.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.80 | 51.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.77 |
| league points | 11.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 86.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 6.29 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.69 | 1.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 19.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | 1.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.60 |
| squad age | — | 28.26 |
| state index | -0.26 | 0.72 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |