← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 30, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Eder Mallo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 50% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.63 |
| Granada win | 23% | 4.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Granada −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.89 |
| Under | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Gui · Almeria |
| 40' | 🟨 | Pablo Insua · Granada |
| 45' | ⚽ | Myrto Uzuni · Granada |
| 83' | ⚽ | Luis Javier Suárez · Almeria |
| 85' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Melero · Almeria |
| 87' | ⚽ | Gonzalo Melero · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ricard Sánchez · Granada |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Granada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | UD Almería Stadium |
| coach days | 182.00 | 90.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1540.59 | 1525.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.52 | 19.49 |
| eye test v1 | 0.77 | 0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.70 |
| league points | 29.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.60 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 3.82 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.21 | 0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 23.29 | 26.06 |
| state index | 0.77 | 0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.68 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |