← Segunda División 2024-25 · Wed, Nov 27, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Germán Cid
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Levante UD win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Málaga CF win | 21% | 5.15 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Levante UD −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Iván Romero · Levante UD |
| 16' | ⚽ | David Larrubia · Málaga CF |
| 33' | ⚽ | Iván Romero · Levante UD |
| 41' | ⚽ | Dani Lorenzo · Málaga CF |
| 55' | 🟨 | Andrés García · Levante UD |
| 55' | 🟨 | Manu Molina · Málaga CF |
| 81' | ⚽ | Carlos Espí · Levante UD |
| 90' | 🟨 | José Luis Morales · Levante UD |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ángel Algobia · Levante UD |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 23 | Shots | 13 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Levante UD | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Ciudad de Valencia |
| coach days | 179.00 | 696.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.00 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1558.16 | 1469.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.01 | 22.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 51.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.88 |
| league points | 26.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 4.94 | 3.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | 0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.75 | — |
| state index | 0.11 | -0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |