← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, Nov 24, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Jon González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 42% | 2.34 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Oviedo win | 27% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Elche CF −0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.51 |
| Over | 37% | 2.69 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Jaime Vázquez · Oviedo |
| 5' | ⚽ (pen) | Nicolás Fernández · Elche CF |
| 31' | 🟨 | Yago Santiago · Elche CF |
| 45' | ⚽ | Agustín Álvarez · Elche CF |
| 51' | 🟨 | Agustín Álvarez · Elche CF |
| 53' | ⚽ | Nicolás Fernández · Elche CF |
| 58' | 🟨 | Aleix Febas · Elche CF |
| 82' | 🟨 | Ilyas Chaira · Oviedo |
| 83' | ⚽ | Nicolás Castro · Elche CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aarón Escandell · Oviedo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Oier Luengo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 4 |
| 10 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 0 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| coach days | 146.00 | 146.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1501.62 | 1556.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.69 | 12.96 |
| eye test v1 | 0.76 | 0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 47.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.68 |
| league points | 25.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.80 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 8.10 | 7.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.60 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.44 | 0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 28.26 | 28.66 |
| state index | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.59 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |