← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, Nov 24, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Miguel Sesma
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 50% | 1.94 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Tenerife win | 22% | 4.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Tenerife −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Josep Gayá · Tenerife |
| 34' | ⚽ (pen) | Higinio Marín · Albacete |
| 52' | 🟨 | Agus Medina · Albacete |
| 76' | ⚽ | Maikel Mesa · Tenerife |
| 81' | ⚽ | Jon Morcillo · Albacete |
| 86' | 🟨 | Jon García · Albacete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Carlos Belmonte |
| coach days | 268.00 | 84.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.65 | 1.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1453.39 | 1433.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.13 | -10.91 |
| eye test v1 | 0.37 | -0.86 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.93 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.70 |
| league points | 18.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 7.91 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 0.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | -0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| state index | -0.54 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.23 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |