← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 23, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Carlos Muñiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Real Racing Club de Santander win | 37% | 2.60 |
| Málaga CF win | 34% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Real Racing Club de Santander +0 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Málaga CF +0 | 47% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Alvaro Mantilla · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 23' | 🟨 | Marco Sangalli · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 42' | 🟨 | Luismi · Málaga CF |
| 42' | 🟨 | Iñigo Vicente · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 48' | 🟨 | Carlos Puga · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Real Racing Club de Santander |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.61 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.57 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 692.00 | 723.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.82 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1467.95 | 1593.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.88 | 21.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | 0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.60 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.86 | 0.88 |
| league points | 21.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 2.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.37 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| state index | 0.15 | 0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.57 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |