← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 23, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Miguel González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos win | 42% | 2.34 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
| Eibar win | 27% | 3.89 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Burgos −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.54 |
| Over | 38% | 2.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Sergio Álvarez · Eibar |
| 53' | 🟨 | Iván Morante · Burgos |
| 59' | 🟨 | Jorge Pascual · Eibar |
| 60' | 🟨 | Jon Bautista · Eibar |
| 61' | 🟨 | Daniel Ojeda · Burgos |
| 67' | ⚽ | Curro · Burgos |
| 78' | 🟨 | Xeber Alkain · Eibar |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burgos | Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de El Plantío |
| 53.00 |
| 511.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1407.35 | 1503.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -50.43 | -22.21 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 52.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.77 |
| league points | 15.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | — | 26.64 |
| state index | -1.55 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.54 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |