← Segunda División 2024-25 · Wed, Nov 20, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Manuel Pérez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eldense win | 45% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.04 |
| Huesca win | 23% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Eldense −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 68% | 1.42 |
| Over | 32% | 3.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | 🟨 | Iñigo Sebastián Magana · Eldense |
| 45' | ⚽ | Ivan Chapela · Eldense |
| 61' | 🟨 | Joaquín Muñoz · Huesca |
| 61' | 🟨 | Sergi Enrich · Huesca |
| 77' | 🟨 | Ian Mackay Abad · Eldense |
| 79' | ⚽ | Nacho Quintana · Eldense |
| 83' | ⚽ | Sergi Enrich · Huesca |
| 86' | 🟨 | Marc Mateu · Eldense |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fran Gámez · Eldense |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 18 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eldense | Huesca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat |
| coach days | 142.00 | 416.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.76 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1430.29 | 1479.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.61 | -31.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.40 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.77 |
| league points | 16.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 4.16 | 3.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.03 | -0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.49 | -0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |