← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, Nov 17, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Salvador Lax
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Málaga CF win | 20% | 5.02 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Málaga CF −0.5 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | David Larrubia · Málaga CF |
| 19' | 🟨 | Malcom Ares · Zaragoza |
| 35' | 🟨 | Luismi · Málaga CF |
| 35' | 🟥 | Kevin Villodres · Málaga CF |
| 45' | 🟨 | Victor Garcia Marin · Málaga CF |
| 59' | 🟨 | Daniel Sánchez · Málaga CF |
| 63' | 🟨 | Francho Serrano · Zaragoza |
| 74' | 🟨 | Marcos Luna · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ivan Calero · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 261.00 | 686.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.12 | 2.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1498.34 | 1465.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.92 | 22.78 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.85 |
| league points | 23.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 8.10 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.22 | 0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.15 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | 0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |