← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, Nov 17, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Sergiu Muresan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 50% | 1.95 |
| RC Deportivo La Coruña win | 25% | 4.12 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.85 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| RC Deportivo La Coruña −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | ⚽ | Edgar González · Almeria |
| 35' | ⚽ | Pablo Vázquez · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 45' | ⚽ | Léo Baptistão · Almeria |
| 72' | 🟨 | Dani Barcia · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | RC Deportivo La Coruña |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.80 |
| venue | UD Almería Stadium |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 169.00 | 47.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 8.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 4.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1518.28 | 1457.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.29 | 15.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.75 | 0.73 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.96 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.73 |
| league points | 20.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 84.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 8.92 | 5.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.61 | 1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 23.29 | — |
| state index | 0.34 | 0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.03 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |