← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 16, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Real Racing Club de Santander win | 60% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
| Burgos win | 18% | 5.93 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos −1 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Real Racing Club de Santander −1 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.74 |
| Under | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Marco Sangalli · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 23' | 🟨 | Aitor Córdoba · Burgos |
| 24' | ⚽ | Francisco Montero · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 40' | 🟥 | Manu · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 45' | 🟨 | Daniel Ojeda · Burgos |
| 59' | 🟨 | Florian Miguel · Burgos |
| 68' | 🟨 | Miguel Atienza · Burgos |
| 82' | 🟨 | Pipa · Burgos |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aritz Aldasoro · Real Racing Club de Santander |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 3 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Real Racing Club de Santander | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| venue | Campos de Sport de El Sardinero |
| coach days |
| 716.00 |
| 46.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1587.57 | 1413.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.78 | -46.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.60 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.85 | 0.73 |
| league points | 36.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 15.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 6.09 | 6.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.00 |
| state index | 0.64 | -1.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | 0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |