← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 16, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Iosu Galech
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Levante UD win | 40% | 2.41 |
| Elche CF win | 30% | 3.37 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF −0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Levante UD −0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Alvaro Núñez · Elche CF |
| 27' | 🟨 | Nicolás Fernández · Elche CF |
| 33' | ⚽ | Agustín Álvarez · Elche CF |
| 71' | 🟨 | Pedro Bigas · Elche CF |
| 73' | ⚽ | Roger Brugué · Levante UD |
| 78' | 🟨 | Rodrigo Mendoza · Elche CF |
| 79' | 🟨 | Unai Elgezabal · Levante UD |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andrés Fernández · Levante UD |
| 90' | 🟨 | Adrián de la Fuente · Levante UD |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 10 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Levante UD | Elche CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Estadio Ciudad de Valencia |
| coach days | 168.00 | 138.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1563.95 | 1498.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.01 | 24.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.76 |
| league points | 24.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 85.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 19.90 | 7.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.85 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 17.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.03 | 1.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.36 | 26.66 |
| state index | 0.12 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.10 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |